MS06 - MFBM-12

Methods and applications of data informed agent-based models for systems biology

Thursday, July 17 at 10:20am

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Organizers:

Annequa Sundus (Indiana University Bloomington), Elmar Bucher (Indiana University Bloomington), Paul Macklin (Indiana University Bloomington)

Description:

Agent-based modeling is a powerful technique for spatial and temporal multiscale modeling of biological systems. It involves defining the agent, the rules the agents act on, and the physical and chemical environment information. Once the system is designed, then calibration is done on the emerging behavior of the system. Since agent-based models have inherent stochasticity along with a large number of parameters, model exploration needs a vast number of replicates for convergence.In practice, a coarse grain approach is often applied to very few parameters. Also agent-based tissue models are multiscale and can incorporate data from different sources from molecular dynamics to tissue scale imaging. However, the biggest challenge is to bridge the gap between data and simulation by using real-world data to inform and calibrate the models. Recent developments in spatial transcriptomics and image analysis have opened the possibility to better inform and calibrate agent-based models. In this mini-symposium we aim to present work that uses real-world data in the design and calibration of agent-based models. Our speakers will present methods and applications for using experimental data to inform agent-based models.



Harsh Jain

University of Minnesota Duluth
"The SMoRe-verse: A novel method for ABM parametrization and uncertainty quantification"
Agent-based models (ABMs) are widely used to study complex biological systems where emergent behaviors arise from individual-level interactions. Understanding the influence of input parameters on model output is essential for interpreting results and improving predictive power, but global sensitivity analysis (GSA) remains computationally prohibitive for many ABMs due to their complexity and high simulation costs. This talk presents SMoRe GloS (Surrogate Modeling for Recapitulating Global Sensitivity), a novel, computationally efficient method for performing GSA on ABMs. SMoRe GloS leverages explicitly formulated surrogate models to approximate ABM outputs, enabling thorough exploration of parameter space and quantification of uncertainty with significantly reduced computational demands. We demonstrate the method’s flexibility and accuracy using two case studies: a 2D cell proliferation assay and a 3D vascular tumor growth model. In both settings, SMoRe GloS produced sensitivity indices consistent with established methods such as Morris one-at-a-time and eFAST, while achieving substantial reductions in computation time. Importantly, the method also captures sensitivities for parameters associated with processes not explicitly included in the surrogate model. These results highlight the potential of SMoRe GloS to extend the accessibility of GSA for computationally intensive ABMs and to support more robust model-based inference in complex systems.



SMB2025
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Annual Meeting for the Society for Mathematical Biology, 2025.